More rain and lots of it fell on Sunday with more predicted today. Trails are too wet to ride, will need a day or two to dry once the rain passes. Last report from the FATS rain gauge was nearly an inch of rain.
Final measure on the FATS gauge was just over 2 inches of rain. FATS trails will be too wet to ride today and may need an additional day to dry out even on BR, Tower, DS, BW. Skinny and Great Wall will need the longest. We'll update as we get more information.
Let me give you some information that might help you decide.
Right now Friday looks good and then Saturday has a 30% chance of rain all day that picks up to 40% and 50% in late afternoon, early evening. Sunday has about a 60% chance of rain. If you are flexible (willing to ride another one of our less vulnerable trails if FATS ends up too wet to ride on Saturday)then you could potentially get rides in on Friday and Saturday. I would double check the weather before you leave - there is a fairly large system moving up from Florida (it is about the size of Florida). FATS has almost recovered from the 2 inches we received at the start of the week but almost any rain (other than a brief drizzle) would probably render the trails too wet to ride. Feel free to email us at firstname.lastname@example.org
If you look at the radar and then back it out you have that system to the west that is trailing oddly to the north but is still edging this way and then that big system moving up from Florida is progressively moving closer.
The weather is very unstable but it looks like by Saturday afternoon the chance of rain is up to 80% and 100% by Sunday - that slow low pressure front is moving up from Florida. The trails are still recovering from the two inches last weekend!
According to the FATS rain gauge we have had an inch of rain and looks like more to come before it is out of here this evening. Trails will be too wet to ride for at least a couple of days once it stops.
We ended up with a total of about 1.4" of rain and looking at the radar looks like we will be hit by the same system, swirling back over the top of us later today and into the morning. The rest of the week is currently looking good but it will probably take until near the end of the week before the trails dry out - do not ride the trails while they are wet. Stay tuned
Looks like the swirling mass circling back to get us again had mostly broken up by the time it moved back into our area with the majority of it sliding south of I20, does not look like FATS received additional rain. At least the four drier loops (BR, Tower, Brown Wave and Deep Step) SHOULD BE good to go tomorrow - will try to get a scout report for the other two.
If predictions are correct rest of the week looks good with minimal rain. There is a cold front heading this way that is projected to be here by Saturday bringing a chance of rain (only 30% showing currently)
Trail check last night revealed that Brown Wave okay to ride but it certainly had more wet spots than it did same time the previous week. A rider that had been on Great Wall and Skinny said Great Wall was very muddy and Skinny less so but both needed to dry out more (his bike and clothes revealed much more than those usual seepy spots on both those trails).
We don't see able to get a break in the weather and this weekend may be no exception. The chance of rain is up to 60% now for Saturday.
Thanks to all the riders who are staying off the trails when they are too wet, damage is minimal on most trails with more work needed on Skinny and Great Wall.
The system heading our way has started to break up some, should have good riding this afternoon and also tomorrow until the chance of rain picks up in the afternoon. The op for rain is within a much smaller window now and Sunday looks great so we might get lucky! Check out our homepage for updated Twitter feeds or follow us at FATSUpdate.
Trails have really dried out over the last week (last ride on Deep Step a couple of days ago revealed one watery seep left and the rest were mostly just dirt with moisture here and there, very little mud left). There is a chance of thunderstorms predicted for the weekend 30% on Saturday/50% on Sunday - radar looks pretty spotty right now as far as what is headed this way but as we all know that can change by the time I am finished with this post!
We had flooding in this area overnight - some areas received more than 6 inches of rain in just over an hour. Do not know at this time how much rain FATS or any of our trails received but it is safe to say that we need to stay off the trails for the next day or so and we'll get a scout out to get an update as soon as we can.
The FATS rain gauge indicated just over half an inch but I drove out this evening and along Woodlawn Road most of the driveways showed washing out into the road so that area probably received more than half an inch but it did not look like it received the deluge that parts of North Augusta received (the 6 inches). Stopped by the parking lot, that huge indention had quite a bit of water but the initial part of the trail was just damp (and we did have some additional rain this afternoon around 4:30 but looked like FATS only received a fringe amount of that). Suspect the trail/foliage sucked up most of the rain like a giant sponge. Expect some water related erosion though.
Drove down to the intersection of lower Skinny and connector trail to Brown Wave - on the way down the road it definitely seemed to have more water erosion than the last time we had driven down the road. The trail itself had that look of water running down to that low spot on the connector (the one tweeted) but tread looked like it had absorbed most of the rain (not surprising after 3 weeks without rain).
A trail runner came up while I was there and said the Brown Wave had a few wet spots but was good. Lower Skinny had water/muck at that first dip. My gut reaction is that as dry as it has been for three weeks the water table is down, the trail very dry, the foliage eager for water - should be okay by tomorrow afternoon (heard the rain in the afternoon tomorrow should be south of I-20).
It's been raining since Wednesday compliments of TS Andrea - it was heavier still after midnight and will continue through at least mid-morning. FATS is and will be too wet to ride for the near future.......hit the road, the gym, the gravel, the Greeneway instead. We will keep you posted as the FATS dries out! Please pass the word. Thank you.